Predicting quantiles of water quality from catchment characteristics     

Danlu Guo  Shuci Liu  Dhananjay Singh  Andrew W. Western 《水文研究》2021,35(1):e13996

Water quality is often highly variable both in space and time, which poses challenges for modelling the more extreme concentrations. This study developed an alternative approach to predicting water quality quantiles at individual locations. We focused on river water quality data that were collected over 25 years, at 102 catchments across the State of Victoria, Australia. We analysed and modelled spatial patterns of the 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles of the concentrations of sediments, nutrients and salt, with six common constituents: total suspended solids (TSS), total phosphorus (TP), filterable reactive phosphorus (FRP), total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN), nitrate-nitrite (NO_x), and electrical conductivity (EC). To predict the spatial variation of each quantile for each constituent, we developed statistical regression models and exhaustively searched through 50 catchment characteristics to identify the best set of predictors for that quantile. The models predict the spatial variation in individual quantiles of TSS, TKN and EC well (66%–96% spatial variation explained), while those for TP, FRP and NO_x have lower performance (37%–73% spatial variation explained). The most common factors that influence the spatial variations of the different constituents and quantiles are: annual temperature, percentage of cropping land area in catchment and channel slope. The statistical models developed can be used to predict how low- and high-concentration quantiles change with landscape characteristics, and thus provide a useful tool for catchment managers to inform planning and policy making with changing climate and land use conditions.  相似文献   

Quantifying suitable dynamic water levels in marsh wetlands based on hydrodynamic modelling     

Peng Hu  Zefan Yang  Qiande Zhu  Weize Wang  Qin Yang 《水文研究》2021,35(2):e14054

The water level of marsh wetlands is a dominant force controlling the wetland ecosystem function, especially for aquatic habitat. For different species, water level requirements vary in time and space, and therefore ensuring suitable water levels in different periods is crucial for the maintenance of biodiversity in marsh wetlands. Based on hydrodynamic modelling and habitat suitability assessment, we determined suitable dynamic water levels considering aquatic habitat service at different periods in marsh wetlands. The two-dimensional hydrodynamic model was used to simulate the temporal and spatial variation of water level. The habitat suitability for target species at various water levels was evaluated to obtain the fitting curves between Weighted Usable Area (WUA) and water levels. And then suitable water levels throughout the year were proposed according to the fitting curves. Using the Zhalong Wetland (located in northeastern China) as a case study, we confirmed that the proposed MIKE 21 model can successfully be used to simulate the water level process in the wetland. Suitable water levels were identified as being from 143.9–144.2 m for April to May, 144.1–144.3 m for June to September, and 144.3–144.4 m for October to November (before the freezing season). Furthermore, proposed water diversion schemes have been identified which can effectively sustain the proposed dynamic water levels. This study is expected to provide appropriate guidance for the determination of environmental flows and water management strategies in marsh wetlands.  相似文献   

Evaluating soil water routing approaches in watershed-scale,ecohydrologic modelling     

Garett Pignotti  Indrajeet Chaubey  Keith Cherkauer  Mark Williams  Melba Crawford 《水文研究》2021,35(3):e14034

Soil water dynamics are central in linking and regulating natural cycles in ecohydrology, however, mathematical representation of soil water processes in models is challenging given the complexity of these interactions. To assess the impacts of soil water simulation approaches on various model outputs, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool was modified to accommodate an alternative soil water percolation method and tested at two geographically and climatically distinct, instrumented watersheds in the United States. Soil water was evaluated at the site scale via measured observations, and hydrologic and biophysical outputs were analysed at the watershed scale. Results demonstrated an improved Kling–Gupta Efficiency of up to 0.3 and a reduction in percent bias from 5 to 25% at the site scale, when soil water percolation was changed from a threshold, bucket-based approach to an alternative approach based on variable hydraulic conductivity. The primary difference between the approaches was attributed to the ability to simulate soil water content above field capacity for successive days; however, regardless of the approach, a lack of site-specific characterization of soil properties by the soils database at the site scale was found to severely limit the analysis. Differences in approach led to a regime shift in percolation from a few, high magnitude events to frequent, low magnitude events. At the watershed scale, the variable hydraulic conductivity-based approach reduced average annual percolation by 20–50 mm, directly impacting the water balance and subsequently biophysical predictions. For instance, annual denitrification increased by 14–24 kg/ha for the new approach. Overall, the study demonstrates the need for continued efforts to enhance soil water model representation for improving biophysical process simulations.  相似文献   

Soil water dynamics under different forest vegetation cover: Implications for hillslope stability   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

Elyas Hayati  Ehsan Abdi  Mohsen Mohseni Saravi  John L. Nieber  Baris Majnounian  Giovanni B. Chirico  Bruce Wilson  Moharramali Nazarirad 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(10):2106-2120

Though it is well known that vegetation affects the water balance of soils through canopy interception and evapotranspiration, its hydrological contribution to soil hydrology and stability is yet to be fully quantified. To improve understanding of this hydrological process, soil water dynamics have been monitored at three adjacent hillslopes with different vegetation covers (deciduous tree cover, coniferous tree cover, and grass cover), for nine months from December 2014 to September 2015. The monitored soil moisture values were translated into soil matric suction (SMS) values to facilitate the analysis of hillslope stability. Our observations showed significant seasonal variations in SMS for each vegetation cover condition. However, a significant difference between different vegetation covers was only evident during the winter season where the mean SMS under coniferous tree cover (83.6 kPa) was significantly greater than that under grass cover (41 kPa). The hydrological reinforcing contribution due to matric suction was highest for the hillslope with coniferous tree cover, while the hillslope with deciduous tree cover was second and the hillslope with grass cover was third. The greatest contributions for all cover types were during the summer season. During the winter season, the wettest period of the monitoring study, the additional hydrological reinforcing contributions provided by the deciduous tree cover (1.5 to 6.5 kPa) or the grass cover (0.9 to 5.4 kPa) were insufficient to avoid potential slope failure conditions. However, the additional hydrological reinforcing contribution from the coniferous tree cover (5.8 to 10.4 kPa) was sufficient to provide potentially stable hillslope conditions during the winter season. Our study clearly suggests that during the winter season the hydrological effects from both deciduous tree and grass covers are insufficient to promote slope stability, while the hydrological reinforcing effects from the coniferous tree cover are sufficient even during the winter season. Copyright © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

南沙海域海底浅层第四系地震地层结构与地质意义          下载免费PDF全文

陈洁  万荣胜  张金鹏  韩冰  苏世龙 《地球物理学报》2018,61(1):242-249

科技进步使得地震采集数据量及其精度实现质的飞跃，南沙海域的地震调查，采用国际先进水平的等离子震源，获得地震剖面精度优于3 m局部甚至可在1 m之内，为科学研究、工程、浅层资源、地质灾害预警等研究奠定基础.在南沙第四系识别出了七个地震反射界面，确定500 ms至海底沉积区间内地震层序与三期海平面升降并与冰期、间冰期对应，典型地震剖面展示第四纪至少有三套完整的具有三角洲顶积层、前积层、底积层的地震相证据，与全球的第四纪海平面的变化一致.精细的浅层地震结构表明：南沙的地质现象丰富，浅层断层非常发育，下切河谷、泥石流、滑坡等地质遗迹的形成的地震相清晰，是地质活动频繁的地区.  相似文献   

北京地区地磁场Sq强度的季节变化和长期变化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

吴迎燕 《地球物理学报》2018,61(9):3552-3559

本文利用北京地区的北京台（BJI）和北京十三陵台（BMT）的地磁场X、Y和Z分量时均值数据，研究了1960年至2013年期间该地区地磁场Sq强度的季节变化和长期变化.结果表明：（1）BJI台和BMT台的地磁场Sq不仅变幅相近，而且具有一致的地方时变化、季节变化、太阳活动周变化和长期变化.（2）BJI台和BMT台Sq强度的逐月变化，其中A_Sq（X）主要表现为春秋增强而冬夏减弱的季节变化.A_Sq（Y）呈现出夏季增强的半年变化.A_Sq（Z）变化较为复杂.虽然在5月和9月出现减小，但是总体来看，其变化曲线也具有夏季增强的半年变化特征.同时，Sq强度与太阳活动F₁₀₇指数之间存在明显的正相关关系，具有一致的11年太阳活动周变化和长期变化，反映出了Sq与太阳活动之间的密切关系.（3）BJI台和BMT台Sq强度差值dA_Sq表明，在大多数年份，两个台站的Sq强度之差一般不超过±2 nT，同时没有明显的季节或年周期变化特征.在2000年和2001年太阳活动高年，dA_Sq出现显著增强，最大可达12.3 nT.反映出了北京地区Sq场强度梯度的剧烈扰动与太阳活动之间的密切关系，意味着在太阳活动高年，Sq电离层发电机电流的局部结构可能发生了明显的改变.  相似文献   

STUDY FOR ABNORMAL VARIATIONS OF UNDERGROUND FLUID IN LIJIANG AREA,YUNNAN PROVINCE BEFORE LUDIAN M_S6.5 EARTHQUAKE IN 2014     

YANG Zhu-zhuan  DENG Zhi-hui  YANG Yue-wen  DENG Sheng-chang  LI Qing 《地震地质》2018,40(2):480-498

The study is based on the underground fluid observation data in Lijiang area, northwest Yunnan Province. The data include the water level and temperature in Dangxiao well and Jinjia well, and the ion measurements in Ganze spring. Combining with the data of regional hydrogeology, rainfall, well structures, and the geothermal gradient, we analyzed the variations of each measurement item before the Ludian M_S6.5 earthquake on August 3, 2014 and discussed the possible mechanism for the abnormal variations. The water levels of both Dangxiao well and Jinjia well are influenced by local rainfall, but the former shows hysteresis according to rainy seasons and is the long trend influence; while the latter shows synchronization between high water level and rainy season, indicating good connection between well water and shallow aquifer. The recharge water for Dangxiao well is in relatively low temperature, and the temperature sensor is located at the major connecting section between the well water and the aquifer; the water temperature variation is mainly affected by the discharge status and variation of water level. The Jinjia well is always in static level, and the temperature sensor is below the major connecting section between the well water and aquifer, so the water temperature is affected little by water level variations and in smooth fluctuation. The recharge source for Ganze spring can generally increase the contents of calcium and magnesium ions, so does the conductivity. The water level data of Dangxiao well since 2012 are decomposed with wavelet technique. The results, excluding such high-frequency components as the noise and the semidiurnal and daily wave components influenced by earth tide, are further processed with difference method in order to eliminate the trend effect. The results show that the relative change of water level is enhanced and in relatively rapid increase before the Ludian M_S6.5 earthquake; the corresponding water temperature values are high. The tendency of water level in Jinjia well displays descending, while the corresponding water temperature shows ascending. The content of calcium ion, magnesium ion, bicarbonate ion, and conductivity of Ganze spring are descending, while the content of fluoride ion is ascending. The abnormal variations of underground fluid in Lijiang area appeared in turns and were accompanied with minor earthquakes before Ludian M_S6.5 earthquake, which indicates enhancing of regional stress and increasing of fluid activity.  相似文献   

The effects of initial soil moisture conditions on swale flow hydrographs          下载免费PDF全文

Hendrik Rujner  Günther Leonhardt  Jiri Marsalek  Anna‐Maria Perttu  Maria Viklander 《水文研究》2018,32(5):644-654

The effects of soil water content (SWC) on the formation of run‐off in grass swales draining into a storm sewer system were studied in two 30‐m test swales with trapezoidal cross sections. Swale 1 was built in a loamy fine‐sand soil, on a slope of 1.5%, and Swale 2 was built in a sandy loam soil, on a slope of 0.7%. In experimental runs, the swales were irrigated with 2 flow rates reproducing run‐off from block rainfalls with intensities approximately corresponding to 2‐month and 3‐year events. Run‐off experiments were conducted for initial SWC (SWC_ini) ranging from 0.18 to 0.43 m³/m³. For low SWC_ini, the run‐off volume was greatly reduced by up to 82%, but at high SWC_ini, the volume reduction was as low as 15%. The relative swale flow volume reductions decreased with increasing SWC_ini and, for the conditions studied, indicated a transition of the dominating swale functions from run‐off dissipation to conveyance. Run‐off flow peaks were reduced proportionally to the flow volume reductions, in the range from 4% to 55%. The swale outflow hydrograph lag times varied from 5 to 15 min, with the high values corresponding to low SWC_ini. Analysis of swale inflow/outflow hydrographs for high SWC_ini allowed estimations of the saturated hydraulic conductivities as 3.27 and 4.84 cm/hr in Swales 1 and 2, respectively. Such estimates differed from averages (N = 9) of double‐ring infiltrometer measurements (9.41 and 1.78 cm/hr). Irregularities in swale bottom slopes created bottom surface depression storage of 0.35 and 0.61 m³ for Swales 1 and 2, respectively, and functioned similarly as check berms contributing to run‐off attenuation. The experimental findings offer implications for drainage swale planning and design: (a) SWC_ini strongly affect swale functioning in run‐off dissipation and conveyance during the early phase of run‐off, which is particularly important for design storms and their antecedent moisture conditions, and (b) concerning the longevity of swale operation, Swale 1 remains fully functional even after almost 60 years of operation, as judged from its attractive appearance, good infiltration rates (3.27 cm/hr), and high flow capacity.  相似文献   

Artificial recharge efficiency assessment by soil water balance and modelling approaches in a multi-layered vadose zone in a dry region     

Mojtaba Pakparvar  Hossein Hashemi  Meisam Rezaei  Wim M. Cornelis  Gholamali Nekooeian  Sayyed Ahang Kowsar 《水文科学杂志》2018,63(8):1183-1202

To assess recharge through floodwater spreading, three wells, approx. 30 m deep, were dug in a 35-year-old basin in southern Iran. Hydraulic parameters of the layers were measured. One well was equipped with pre-calibrated time domain reflectometry (TDR) sensors. The soil moisture was measured continuously before and after events. Rainfall, ponding depth and the duration of the flooding events were also measured. Recharge was assessed by the soil water balance method, and by calibrated (inverse solution) HYDRUS-1D. The results show that the 15 wetting front was interrupted at a layer with fine soil accumulation over a coarse layer at the depth of approx. 4 m. This seemed to occur due to fingering flow. Estimation of recharge by the soil water balance and modelling approaches showed a downward water flux of 55 and 57% of impounded floodwater, respectively.  相似文献   

How deep can forest vegetation cover extend their hydrological reinforcing contribution?          下载免费PDF全文

Elyas Hayati  Ehsan Abdi  Mohsen Mohseni Saravi  John L. Nieber  Baris Majnounian  Giovanni B. Chirico 《水文研究》2018,32(16):2570-2583

An experimental campaign was set up to quantify the contribution of evapotranspiration fluxes on hillslope hydrology and stability for different forest vegetation cover types. Three adjacent hillslopes, respectively, covered by hardwood, softwood, and grass were instrumented with nine access tubes each to monitor soil water dynamics at the three depths of 30, 60, and 100 cm, using a PR2/6 profile probe (Delta‐T Devices Ltd) for about 6 months including wet periods. Soil was drier under softwood and wetter under grass at all the three depths during most of the monitoring period. Matric suction derived via the soil moisture measurements was more responsive to changes in the atmospheric conditions and also recovered faster at the 30 cm depth. Results showed no significant differences between mean matric suction under hardwood (101.6 kPa) with that under either softwood or grass cover. However, a significant difference was found between mean matric suction under softwood (137.5 kPa) and grass (84.3 kPa). Results revealed that, during the wettest period, the hydrological effects from all three vegetation covers were substantial at the 30 cm depth, whereas the contribution from grass cover at 60 cm (2.0 kPa) and 100 cm (1.1 kPa) depths and from hardwood trees at 100 cm depth (1.2 kPa) was negligible. It is surmised that potential instability would have occurred at these larger depths along hillslopes where shallow hillslope failures are most likely to occur in the region. The hydrological effects from softwood trees, 8.1 and 3.9 kPa, were significant as the corresponding factor of safety values showed stable conditions at both depths of 60 and 100 cm, respectively. Therefore, the considerable hydrological reinforcing effects from softwood trees to the 100 cm depth suggest that a hillslope stability analysis would show that hillslopes with softwood trees will be stable even during the wet season.  相似文献